Chaos Program

Not long ago when there was a rumor that IBM might by Sun Microsystems (see All the Failure Money Can Buy) I gave the opinion that this was a bad thing that IBM should not pursue. IBM didn’t pursue it and life went on.

Now today we have the news that a deal has been reached for Oracle to buy Sun instead (Oracle To Buy Sun For Approximately $7.4 Billion – Hold On To Your Hats). So the question is, is this as bad for Oracle as it would have been for IBM? Short answer: Not as bad, though still not great. Most of my reasons for thinking Sun was a bad buy for IBM apply to anyone who would buy Sun. I just don’t believe Sun has much of a future.

Weirdly, Sun claims that Java is an incredibly important part of the purchase. If I had any stock in Oracle, I’d sell it on the strength of that pronouncement alone (but I’m poor. I don’t own stock in anything, thank God). There is another aspect of the purchase that has to be taken into consideration, however. It’s called Mysql.

Mysql is a (mostly) free database package that comes included with most Linux installs and runs a ridiculously large percentage of Internet websites and applications. Sun bought Mysql a little over a year ago for $1 billion (Sun to Acquire Mysql). That’s right: They paid a billion dollars for a (mostly) free product. Shortly thereafter they started looking for somebody to buy the whole company because they were losing ground fast. Can we say, “Oops?”

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A random roundup is what happens when I’m so busy (or lazy, or disorganized) that I start a number of blog posts over a period of several days, but never seem to finish or post any of them. So instead, I slam them together into one big one and pretend like I’m being conscientious. The latest crop includes some notes about Twitter, Facebook, Roadrunner and my old employer the Democrat & Chronicle.

Twitter is bad for you

In other news – if you can call it that – Twitter makes us less moral. Really. Scientists said so (Can Twitter Make You Amoral? Rapid-fire Media May Confuse Your Moral Compass). Apparently, someone thinks that the stream of consciousness that characterizes much Twitter content is too fast to allow people to reflect on other people’s feelings. Do we need to use more smileys? Can you do smileys on Twitter? Having never used a smiley anywhere, I wouldn’t know. But surely those will make us more moral by putting our feelings out there for others to see, right?

Actually, the research seems to imply that Twitter is not good for teaching morality and that someone brought up on 140 character or less communication may have some deficiencies. So when raising children, remember to talk to them sometimes, not just Tweet at them.
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After I wrote the last post about problems with the upcoming CyberSecurity bill (see The Law of Unintended Cyber Consequences) – actually after I went to bed – I realized what bugged me about the whole idea of the president having a Real-Time CyberSecurity Dashboard. It’s an alarm system just begging for someone to mess with it. There are three possible scenarios that I can think of without trying very hard.

In the first scenario someone with a great many resources (maybe well-educated Russian youth groups (as described in my post Cyberwars Redux), launches a series of  “events” to gauge the workings of the dashboard. Maybe they do a virus one month, a severe denial of service attack on a high profile target another month and a serious attempt at penetration of a military target some other month. They monitor responses from the White House, particularly the CyberSecurity Advisory Panel. Maybe they go by press releases and rumors in the press. An actual intelligence operation (as all governments have and quite a few terrorist organizations as well) might have live humans they can pump for information. Anyway, after a time, they gather enough information to know how to make the dashboard show what they want it to show.

I’ve described this as an entire intel program but it doesn’t have to be. The dashboard will be something most security geeks will be interested in. Information about it will get out. Maybe it will show up in the trade press, or in casual conversations at conventions or on IRC. The trouble is, once people learn how to manipulate the system, worse scenarios become possible or even likely.

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Computer security seems to be an endlessly hot topic. Recently, there has been talk of a bill in the U.S. Senate that would dramatically change the security landscape in this country. Under the guise of protecting national infrastructure, this legislation would raise the price tag for security significantly while allowing the federal government to take charge of any and all systems and networks it happened to choose.

Great idea. “We’re from the government, and we’re here to help your computers. Here’s our secure example. It’s called Colossus” (That’s a somewhat obscure movie reference. See Colossus: The Forbin Project or even Colossus: The DVD. See what people worried about long before we ever heard of Skynet).

The bill is The Cybersecurity Act of 2009, co-sponsored by Democrat John Rockefeller of West Virginia and pretend Republican Olympia Snowe of Maine. As of yet (if I remember correctly and didn’t miss something in my reading), the bill has no sponsors in the House. That’s a hopeful sign. Let’s see why.

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So there’s a story going around that Time Warner Roadrunner is proposing instituting tiered service in Rochester, NY. The levels would start at $29.95/month for up to 5 GB of data transfer and go up to $54.90/month for 40GB of data. There would also be fees for going over your monthly allotment. More details here and here.

This would directly affect me, so I’m not exactly an unbiased observer. But in an unbiased way, my first thought on seeing this structure was, “Between YouTube, Facebook and online Mah Jong or what have you, who on Earth actually uses a lousy 5 gig?” It may sound like a lot to people who don’t know any better but take it from an old – professional – Computer geek. That one is a red herring. They don’t even mean it seriously.  Ignore it (except possibly to be offended by the mendacity of a company that pretends to be offering a low price option that, in effect, no one can use).

My second thought was that there is no need for tiered service. The infrastructure is there, in place. When a particular user downloads some huge file, there is no one in a control center yelling, “Scotty! We need more power! Hurry or she’s gonna blow!” There is no danger that the pipes are going to burst because there are too many electrons going through them. The system works just as well at a user’s first gigabyte downloaded as their hundredth. Tiered usage is a bookkeeping device, completely unrelated to the stresses and strains on the system.

As I said, this will directly affect me and I’m not happy about it. I work from home more often than not. And I take online classes. I can use a half gig (500 mb, 0.5 gb) in a day without even trying. I can do that without downloading any Linux ISOs or software, or using Internet phone (skype – I’ve thought about it but haven’t tried it yet) or viewing YouTube videos or other streaming media, believe it or not. I know this because I have a bandwidth meter installed on my main computer. I’m just that kind of guy. People who use streaming media are likely to use much more.  And pay more. This is starting to sound like a bad thing, especially in a recession.

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